A while back, when I first started writing regularly, I wrote a post speculating on the 2012 sites for the DNC to party it up, hopefully renominating President Obama as the Democratic candidate (knock on wood). It's time to update that a bit.
Let me lay down a qualifier: this list makes a rather bold assumption that, if Obama is popular enough, his reelection will not be monumentally difficult. So, this list is largely designed to increase the progressive majority in Congress, which will be very important moving forward legislation and dialogue. So, without further ado, The Top 12 in '12:
Honorable Mentions: Santa Fe, New Mexico; Buffalo, New York; Omaha, Nebraska; Little Rock, Arkansas
12. PHOENIX, ARIZONA (NR)
Vibrant Latino town in the Great American Southwest, home of the Progressive Southern Strategy, will help Democrats erode southern votes away from the GOP. With a new census coming out, states like Arizona, New Mexico and Texas are becoming more electorally valuable.
11. NEWARK, NEW JERSEY (NR)
Some troubles with the gubernatorial race and in Congress makes this an attractive race. And I've got the perfect guy for keynote speaker, a la 2004: Newark Mayor Cory Booker. This may be the perfect opportunity to help him ascend to higher office...Senate or Governor, perhaps? He is more than worthy.
10. MINNEAPOLIS/ST.PAUL, MINNESOTA (NR)
Democrats have been strong as of late in MN, but they could always use a little bit of help, especially with a few Republicans in historically blue districts. Also, who wouldn't love to help kick Michelle Bachmann out of town?
9. LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA (NR)
Ah, if only we could have a convention there this year. Economic prosperity brought in by the DNC would be a major benefit to the local economy as sticking with the Dems looks mighty good to the remaining GOP Congressmen in Democratic-leaning districts. (This site is only for a bump in Congressional races, as it would give virtually no electoral help to Obama.)
8. NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA (HM)
I'm not 100% crazy about this one because the Republicans did it in 2004, but there are quite a few "borderline" districts that could switch Democratic. That, and it's time to exploit Gov. Bobby Jindal while we know he's weak. Louisiana voted for Clinton not too long ago, and victories in Congress and progress towards an electoral boost here are very attractive.
7. CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA (8)
There has been a lot of buzz surrounding this site lately, with Obama narrowly winning the state last November. Still, with no Senate seats open, it may not pack quite the political punch Democrats are looking for. Still, it would be nice to create two blue coasts--the West Coast is already there.
6. RICHMOND, VIRGINIA (10)
There are plenty of vulnerable Republicans and Democrats in this state that has been inching more progressive every year. Richmond is a beautiful city that could certainly use the business, as could the electoral fortunes of Tom Perriello and others. Keynote address may be a good venue for the 2013 gubernatorial candidate to shine, as it looks like Creigh Deeds has his work cut out for him.
5. INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA (1)
I can say this about any of the top five choices: their local economies certainly need the money. Indianapolis is a big city with blue-collar charm, warmth and nostalgia stemming from their place in history as the crossroads of our nation. "Crossroads of America" might serve as a good theme for 2012 Democrats...and as a state that saw an incredibly tight night in November, Obama could use all the help he can get here. (The reason this venue fell from #1 in my first rankings to #5 is that there are not too many volatile seats here.)
4. DETROIT, MICHIGAN (3)
Like I said before--Detroit could definitely use the money. Michigan votes reliably blue in presidential elections, but there are so many vulnerable Republicans (5 or 6 at my latest count), that a convention here would be almost too good to pass up. The only reason Detroit may not be a good site is that it conjures up memories of the administration's unpopular (and, IMHO, unsuccessful) "bailout" of the automobile industry. My money says that Obama and friends will want to stay as far away from that memory as possible.
3. PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA (2)
Now here's a state where Democrats need some help--3 vulnerable Republicans but 4 vulnerable Dems. After the "real America" nonsense that went on during McCain's campaign stops in the region, we really got to see the divide between rural and urban America. Having the DNC in Pittsburgh definitely improves the local economy and goes a long way to showing embittered rural Republicans that Obama and Democrats aren't elite snobs--we're Americans and we live next door to them.
2. COLUMBUS/DAYTON, OHIO (5)
You can say almost the same things about Ohio as you can about Pennsylvania--4 vulnerable Republicans, 4 vulnerable Democrats. Reaching out to large blue-collar communities is important, in order to distance Democrats from the big-money interests of the Republicans, who will almost certainly need to have their 2012 convention and Congressional candidates supported by their troop of ridiculously wealthy donors rather than working-class voters that make up the majority of the population.
1. MIAMI, FLORIDA (NR)
A site I never really considered back when I first made predictions, Florida is the state of the highest political volatility--11 vulnerable Republicans and 2 vulnerable Democrats. This would be the ideal place to make serious gains in the House, while also furthering the Progressive Southern Strategy around the very vibrant and independent Latino political community around Miami and elsewhere in southern Florida. And, if Bill Nelson leaves office in 2012, the keynote address may be perfect timing for his replacement to truly shine on a national level. All in all, Miami is a perfect blend of nostalgia, hard-work and positive, progressive optimism that the Obama administration must tap into.
THE SHOCKER: CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA
What better way to sock it to disgraced Governor Mark Sanford than to host the pinnacle of Democratic celebrations on his home turf? Democrats could really drive a progressive, idealistic message home that would rub ironically with the stuff Sanford was supposed to stand for.
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As I was thinking of the post, one thought stuck out to me which is so vitally important for Democrats in 2012 (and, really, 2010): They MUST think outside of the box.
Like I mentioned, venues 1-5 would all be excellent choices for a convention site--but that doesn't mean we have to pick only one! Having four smaller conventions (venues 2-5), with delegates and where the whole party comes together to hear about local candidates and the national candidates come together to speak, would both aid the host economies and serve as rallying points for Democrats. I can envision multiple poll bumps and "an era of good feelings" for Democrats throughout the country as they party together more than just once. Then, to have a final, nominating convention in a place like Miami (or hell, even Charleston) would be just like any other nominating convention--and, of course, the pinnacle get-together.
Democrats can expand their winnings in both 2010 and especially 2012, if we don't hamstring ourselves to a set of supposed "rules," finding out later (after we've lost) that we were actually the only ones playing by those rules. 2012 is going to be an exciting campaign year, and Democrats can kick it off by being the party of progress and optimism for ALL.